Fan money creates an opportunity for value betting

Betting against popular teams

When it comes to the most popular football teams the sheer number of fans betting on their teams can create a risky but valuable betting opportunity for the value football bettor.

Thousands of people around the world bet on the big clubs because they are fans.

The Manchester Uniteds and Arsenals of this world are hugely successful and win many times more than they lose.

The flow of fan money to say Manchester United when playing an unfashionable club like Fulham or Stoke means that these bets are frequently very poor value.

The huge weight of money wanting to bet on Manchester United means that the opposite side of the book may represent excellent value, chasing the odds offered down to the point where they do not reflect the probability of the big club winning.

This means that betting against the big clubs can provide good value bets.

Betting system tips

There is however a great deal of patience required to following a football betting system based around this lack of value. You would have losing bets far more often that you would have winning bets as the big clubs often win.

But in the long run, with well selected matches, it is possible to design a profitable football betting system based around the fact that a significant proportion of the money bet on big football matches is bet by fans regardless of the odds.

For the best followed teams, this can create a disconnect between the probability of them winning and the odds being offered. You can take advantage of this by Laying a big club, especially when they are away at an unfashionable club that's hard to beat at home.